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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 50.3%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Cambridge United |
50.3% ( 0.88) | 25.05% ( -0.31) | 24.65% ( -0.57) |
Both teams to score 51.35% ( 0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.83% ( 0.75) | 51.17% ( -0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.98% ( 0.66) | 73.01% ( -0.66) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.64% ( 0.67) | 20.35% ( -0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.24% ( 1.06) | 52.75% ( -1.06) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.47% ( -0.09) | 35.52% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.71% ( -0.09) | 72.29% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Cambridge United |
1-0 @ 11.51% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.67% Total : 50.3% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 1% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.98% Total : 24.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 16 |
3 | Barnsley | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
9 | Blackpool | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
13 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
14 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
15 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
16 | Leyton Orient | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 |
17 | Reading | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
18 | Crawley TownCrawley | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
19 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Burton Albion | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |