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Forest Green Rovers
League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 1pm UK
The New Lawn
Cambridge United

Forest Green
2 - 1
Cambridge

March (37'), Wickham (90+3' pen.)
Casey (45+1'), Boyes (78'), O'Keeffe (89'), McGeouch (90+6')
O'Keeffe (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Janneh (89')
Smith (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Forest Green Rovers 2-0 Cambridge United

Forest Green may be unfortunately placed at the bottom of the league table, making them strong relegation candidates. However, manager Burchnall will look to take advantage against a Cambridge side seemingly incapable of scoring goals either home or away. Another strong outing for the Green's strike partnership of Wickham and March should be enough to topple Cambridge, and we predict winning goals from the pair of them this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 50.3%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawCambridge United
50.3% (0.879 0.88) 25.05% (-0.306 -0.31) 24.65% (-0.574 -0.57)
Both teams to score 51.35% (0.364 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.83% (0.753 0.75)51.17% (-0.756 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (0.656 0.66)73.01% (-0.65700000000001 -0.66)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.64% (0.67400000000001 0.67)20.35% (-0.674 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.24% (1.06 1.06)52.75% (-1.062 -1.06)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.47% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)35.52% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.71% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)72.29% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 50.3%
    Cambridge United 24.65%
    Draw 25.04%
Forest Green RoversDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 11.51% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.16% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.146 0.15)
3-0 @ 4.86% (0.153 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.07 0.07)
4-1 @ 2% (0.098 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.099 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 50.3%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.222 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.48% (-0.247 -0.25)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.87% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 24.65%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Cambridge

Forest Green Rovers
37.5%
Draw
25.0%
Cambridge United
37.5%
8
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Forest Green
2-0
Cambridge
Collins (58'), Matt (65' pen.)
Matt (45+1')
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wrexham7511146816
2Birmingham CityBirmingham6510136716
3Barnsley74121210213
4Charlton AthleticCharlton741275213
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield7403118312
6Lincoln CityLincoln6321106411
7Stockport CountyStockport6321106411
8Peterborough UnitedPeterborough73221211111
9Blackpool73221313011
10Mansfield TownMansfield63211111011
11Wycombe WanderersWycombe63121210210
12Exeter CityExeter63038629
13Northampton TownNorthampton62228718
14Wigan AthleticWigan72236518
15Stevenage72235508
16Leyton Orient7214911-27
17Reading6213710-37
18Crawley TownCrawley621358-37
19Bolton WanderersBolton6213711-47
20Bristol Rovers7214611-57
21Rotherham UnitedRotherham713359-46
22Burton Albion6042810-24
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury7106512-73
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge6015613-71


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