Forest Green2 - 1Cambridge
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
We said: Forest Green Rovers 2-0 Cambridge United
Forest Green may be unfortunately placed at the bottom of the league table, making them strong relegation candidates. However, manager Burchnall will look to take advantage against a Cambridge side seemingly incapable of scoring goals either home or away. Another strong outing for the Green's strike partnership of Wickham and March should be enough to topple Cambridge, and we predict winning goals from the pair of them this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 50.3%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Cambridge United |
50.3% ( 0.88) | 25.05% ( -0.31) | 24.65% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 51.35% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.83% ( 0.75) | 51.17% ( -0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.98% ( 0.66) | 73.01% ( -0.66) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.64% ( 0.67) | 20.35% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.24% ( 1.06) | 52.75% ( -1.06) |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.47% ( -0.09) | 35.52% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.71% ( -0.09) | 72.29% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 1-0 @ 11.51% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.67% Total : 50.3% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 1% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.98% Total : 24.65% |
