FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round

Nov 26, 2022 at 3pm UK

Cambridge
1 - 2
Grimsby Town

Smith (81')
Digby (42')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Khan (61', 90')
Green (29'), Waterfall (45+2'), McAtee (83')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Cambridge United and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Accrington
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Grimsby Town

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-1 Accrington
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Cambridge United 1-0 Grimsby Town

In a match that could help to turn round the fortunes of both Cambridge and Grimsby, we expect a cagey affair as both sides are low on confidence due to recent results. On this occasion, Cambridge will do just enough to book their place in the third round of the FA Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Cambridge United	Draw	Grimsby Town
27.79% ( 0)	25.33% ( 0)	46.88% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.18% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.93% (

-0.02)

50.07% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.95% (

-0.01)

72.05% (

0.01)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.63% (

-0.01)

32.37% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.12% (

-0.01)

68.88% (

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.63% (

-0.01)

21.37% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.65% (

-0.02)

54.35% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Cambridge United 27.79%

Grimsby Town 46.87%

Draw 25.33%

Cambridge United	Draw	Grimsby Town
1-0 @ 7.8% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.79% 2-0 @ 4.4% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 27.79%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.33%	0-1 @ 10.67% 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.24% 1-3 @ 4.78% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.24% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 46.87%