FA Cup | First Round Replays
Nov 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Cambridge0 - 0Curzon Ashton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Bolton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-0 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
15
We said: Cambridge United 3-1 Curzon Ashton
Curzon Ashton were impressive when the two sides locked horns last weekend, but it is difficult to imagine a shock result occurring here. Cambridge were much-improved against Bolton in the league on Saturday and should have too much quality for their non-league opponents here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 52.37%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cambridge United | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
52.37% ( -0.08) | 23.39% ( 0.03) | 24.24% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.19% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
