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Forest Green Rovers
League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
Portsmouth

Forest Green
0 - 1
Portsmouth


Hendry (21'), Little (74'), Cargill (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Raggett (17')
Tunnicliffe (14'), Scarlett (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Forest Green Rovers and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Forest Green Rovers 1-2 Portsmouth

Although they have lost their last two away games, we think that Portsmouth will get their promotion bid back on track when they face a Forest Green side who are currently in the relegation zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Portsmouth in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portsmouth.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawPortsmouth
33.87% (0.0019999999999953 0) 25.39%40.73%
Both teams to score 55.92% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.16% (0.00099999999999767 0)47.83% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.98% (0.0019999999999989 0)70.02% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (0.0020000000000095 0)27.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.53% (0.0020000000000024 0)62.46%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7% (0.00099999999999056 0)23.3% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.76%57.24% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 33.87%
    Portsmouth 40.73%
    Draw 25.39%
Forest Green RoversDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 8.24%
2-1 @ 7.84%
2-0 @ 5.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.49%
3-0 @ 2.34%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 33.87%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 6.31%
2-2 @ 5.71%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 9.19%
1-2 @ 8.75%
0-2 @ 6.7%
1-3 @ 4.25%
0-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 2.77%
1-4 @ 1.55%
0-4 @ 1.18%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 40.73%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Portsmouth

Forest Green Rovers
18.2%
Draw
9.1%
Portsmouth
72.7%
11
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