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Women's Super League | Gameweek 1
Sep 20, 2024 at 7pm UK
Kingsmeadow

Chelsea
1 - 0
Aston Villa

Rytting-Kaneryd (36')
Hamano (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Staniforth (4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Women's Super League clash between Chelsea Women and Aston Villa Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd 0-6 Chelsea
Saturday, May 18 at 3pm in Women's Super League

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-2 Man City
Saturday, May 18 at 3pm in Women's Super League

We said: Chelsea Women 2-0 Aston Villa Women

 Villa have made an effort to strengthen their side over the summer and their new-look squad could offer Chelsea a tough test, but we still believe that the Blues will have the extra quality required to claim maximum points in Bompastor's first competitive game in charge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 67.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 14.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 3-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawAston Villa Women
67.37% (-0.834 -0.83) 17.72% (0.252 0.25) 14.91% (0.586 0.59)
Both teams to score 59.7% (0.635 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.73% (0.088999999999999 0.09)32.26% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.13% (0.101 0.1)53.87% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.16% (-0.161 -0.16)8.83% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.72% (-0.395 -0.39)30.27% (0.399 0.4)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.48% (0.81100000000001 0.81)34.51% (-0.809 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.77% (0.851 0.85)71.23% (-0.848 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 67.37%
    Aston Villa Women 14.91%
    Draw 17.72%
Chelsea WomenDrawAston Villa Women
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.98% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-1 @ 7.72% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.4% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-0 @ 7.26% (-0.202 -0.2)
4-1 @ 4.69% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 4.4% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-2 @ 4.11% (0.068 0.07)
4-2 @ 2.49% (0.022 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.27% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.14% (-0.093 -0.09)
5-2 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
6-1 @ 0.92% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 67.37%
1-1 @ 7.87% (0.077000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.121 0.12)
0-0 @ 3.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 17.72%
1-2 @ 4.19% (0.132 0.13)
0-1 @ 3.24% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 1.73% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.49% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 14.91%

How you voted: Chelsea vs Aston Villa

Chelsea Women
80.6%
Draw
9.7%
Aston Villa Women
9.7%
31
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 19
Chelsea Women
3-0
Aston Villa
Beever-Jones (18'), Hamano (38'), Buchanan (64')
Ingle (61'), Lawrence (77')

Corsie (8'), Daly (45+4')
Leat (4')
> Preview
Nov 4, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Aston Villa
0-6
Chelsea Women

Patten (35')
Bright (21'), Kirby (26'), Rytting-Kaneryd (56'), Lawrence (63'), Beever-Jones (67'), Charles (73')
> Preview
Apr 16, 2023 2.15pm
Semi-Finals
Aston Villa
0-1
Chelsea Women
Kerr (59')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2023 6.45pm
Gameweek 17
Aston Villa
0-3
Chelsea Women
Cankovic (22'), Reiten (43'), Kerr (56')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 6
Chelsea Women
3-1
Aston Villa
James (22', 47'), Kerr (63')
Daly (38')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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