MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 16:58:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Sep 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Bryntirion Park

Pen-y-Bont
2 - 1
New Saints

Green (13'), Venables (85')
Kircough (27'), Harling (69'), Reffell (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wilson (44')
Smith (23')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-1 Pen-y-Bont
Sunday, September 15 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 4-0 Barry
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawThe New Saints
25.61% (0.425 0.43) 24.69% (0.138 0.14) 49.7% (-0.565 -0.56)
Both teams to score 53.37% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.04% (-0.232 -0.23)48.95% (0.22900000000001 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.96% (-0.209 -0.21)71.04% (0.206 0.21)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.48% (0.23099999999999 0.23)33.51% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (0.253 0.25)70.15% (-0.254 -0.25)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.28% (-0.31999999999999 -0.32)19.72% (0.318 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.26% (-0.522 -0.52)51.74% (0.519 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 25.61%
    The New Saints 49.7%
    Draw 24.69%
Pen-y-BontDrawThe New Saints
1-0 @ 7.23% (0.113 0.11)
2-1 @ 6.41% (0.077 0.08)
2-0 @ 3.95% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.34% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.44% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 25.61%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.062 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 10.73%
1-2 @ 9.52% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.71% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-3 @ 5.15% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.71% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.09% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.91% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 49.7%

Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
New Saints
3-0
Pen-y-Bont
Williams (1'), Pask (81'), McManus (88')
Redmond (36'), Baker (60'), Davies (90')

Brown (45+1'), Reffell (61'), Davies (70')
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Pen-y-Bont
1-4
New Saints
Venables (8')
Venables (34'), Harling (60'), Kircough (90+1')
Yorwerth (28')
Young (51', 57'), Brobbel (67', 83')
Williams (34')
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Pen-y-Bont
2-5
New Saints
Reffell (55'), Wood (85')
McManus (31', 72'), Redmond (39'), Baker (71'), Davies (80')
Feb 25, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 3
New Saints
1-1
Pen-y-Bont
Smith (18')
Wood (81' pen.)
Nov 19, 2022 5.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913


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