MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 08:15:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Sep 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Bryntirion Park

Pen-y-Bont
2 - 1
New Saints

Green (13'), Venables (85')
Kircough (27'), Harling (69'), Reffell (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wilson (44')
Smith (23')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-1 Pen-y-Bont
Sunday, September 15 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 4-0 Barry
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawThe New Saints
25.61% (0.425 0.43) 24.69% (0.138 0.14) 49.7% (-0.565 -0.56)
Both teams to score 53.37% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.04% (-0.232 -0.23)48.95% (0.22900000000001 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.96% (-0.209 -0.21)71.04% (0.206 0.21)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.48% (0.23099999999999 0.23)33.51% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (0.253 0.25)70.15% (-0.254 -0.25)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.28% (-0.31999999999999 -0.32)19.72% (0.318 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.26% (-0.522 -0.52)51.74% (0.519 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 25.61%
    The New Saints 49.7%
    Draw 24.69%
Pen-y-BontDrawThe New Saints
1-0 @ 7.23% (0.113 0.11)
2-1 @ 6.41% (0.077 0.08)
2-0 @ 3.95% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.34% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.44% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 25.61%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.062 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 10.73%
1-2 @ 9.52% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.71% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-3 @ 5.15% (-0.074000000000001 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.71% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.09% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.91% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 49.7%

Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
New Saints
3-0
Pen-y-Bont
Williams (1'), Pask (81'), McManus (88')
Redmond (36'), Baker (60'), Davies (90')

Brown (45+1'), Reffell (61'), Davies (70')
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Pen-y-Bont
1-4
New Saints
Venables (8')
Venables (34'), Harling (60'), Kircough (90+1')
Yorwerth (28')
Young (51', 57'), Brobbel (67', 83')
Williams (34')
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Pen-y-Bont
2-5
New Saints
Reffell (55'), Wood (85')
McManus (31', 72'), Redmond (39'), Baker (71'), Davies (80')
Feb 25, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 3
New Saints
1-1
Pen-y-Bont
Smith (18')
Wood (81' pen.)
Nov 19, 2022 5.15pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810


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