Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Bryntirion Park
Pen-y-Bont5 - 1Aberystwyth
Davies (13'), Borge (42'), Pritchard (61'), Walsh (83' og.), Venables (87')
Kircough (32'), Ware (80')
Kircough (32'), Ware (80')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Torry (32')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Aberystwyth Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Haverfordwest 0-0 Pen-y-Bont
Friday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-0 Barry
Friday, August 23 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, August 23 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 16.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.
Result | ||
Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
60.94% ( 0.04) | 22.28% ( 0.06) | 16.78% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 48.17% ( -0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.51% ( -0.41) | 49.49% ( 0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.48% ( -0.37) | 71.52% ( 0.37) |
Pen-y-Bont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.22% ( -0.13) | 15.78% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.08% ( -0.23) | 44.92% ( 0.23) |
Aberystwyth Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.2% ( -0.37) | 42.8% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.88% ( -0.32) | 79.12% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Pen-y-Bont 60.93%
Aberystwyth Town 16.78%
Draw 22.28%
Pen-y-Bont | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
1-0 @ 12.47% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.27% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.08% Total : 60.93% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.8% Total : 22.28% | 0-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.68% Total : 16.78% |
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 8
Aberystwyth
0-3
Pen-y-Bont
Oct 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Pen-y-Bont
0-2
Aberystwyth
Taylor (14'), Thorn (28' pen.)
Owen (41'), Thorn (71'), H (90+3')
Owen (41'), Thorn (71'), H (90+3')
Sep 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Aberystwyth
1-2
Pen-y-Bont
Thorn (90+3')
Owen (47')
Owen (47')
Reynolds (48', 59')
Kircough (83'), Evans (90+2')
Kircough (83'), Evans (90+2')
Jan 10, 2023 8pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 12 | 23 | 40 |
2 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 50 | 22 | 28 | 39 |
3 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 31 |
4 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Bala TownBala Town | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 28 |
6 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 28 |
7 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 28 |
8 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 19 |
10 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 17 |
11 | Briton Ferry | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 17 | 46 | -29 | 13 |
> Welsh Premier League Full Table |
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