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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 18
Jan 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
0 - 3
Pen-y-Bont


Litchfield (48'), Thorn (59')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Reffell (24'), Georgievsky (38'), Rimmer (64' og.)
Evans (77'), Georgievsky (83')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Flint Town 1-1 Aberystwyth
Friday, January 6 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 5-1 Caernarfon
Saturday, January 7 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 57.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 20.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawPen-y-Bont
20.24% (0.151 0.15) 22.52% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 57.23% (-0.167 -0.17)
Both teams to score 53.63% (0.195 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.62% (0.14100000000001 0.14)45.37% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.29% (0.136 0.14)67.71% (-0.137 -0.14)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.55% (0.237 0.24)36.45% (-0.24 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.76% (0.239 0.24)73.24% (-0.241 -0.24)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)15.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.4% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)44.6% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 20.24%
    Pen-y-Bont 57.23%
    Draw 22.52%
Aberystwyth TownDrawPen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 5.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 5.38% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.9% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.81% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.68% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 0.98% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 20.24%
1-1 @ 10.66%
0-0 @ 5.69% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.52%
0-1 @ 10.56% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 9.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 9.81% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 6.13% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 6.08% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.09% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.85% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-4 @ 2.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.06%
0-5 @ 1.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 57.23%

Head to Head
Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm
Pen-y-Bont
3-1
Aberystwyth
Borge (26'), Wood (39' pen.), Owen (83')
Flint (34' pen.)
Jan 21, 2022 7.45pm
Pen-y-Bont
4-0
Aberystwyth
Ahmun (8', 15', 20'), Wood (77')
Evans (60')

Owen (52'), Rimmer (90')
Darlington (60')
Oct 22, 2021 8pm
Aberystwyth
0-3
Pen-y-Bont

Jones (29'), Jenkins (90+1')
Waite (16', 49'), Watts (34')
Jefferies (90+2')
Mar 27, 2021 2.30pm
Aberystwyth
1-1
Pen-y-Bont
Franklin (33')
Williams (49'), Owen (72'), Owen (77'), Roberts (80'), Thorn (82')
Owen (90+4')
Davies (59')
Snaith (83')
Sep 15, 2020 7.45pm
Pen-y-Bont
1-1
Aberystwyth
Wood (16')
Davies (37'), Wood (46')
Bradford (47')
Bradford (37'), Rimmer (45+1'), Williams (69'), Jones (71'), Rowe (82'), (88')
Jones (82')
rhs 2.0
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