Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 16
Sep 28, 2024 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires)
Estudiantes1 - 0Defensa
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Estudiantes and Defensa y Justicia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 2-0 Estudiantes
Tuesday, September 24 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Tuesday, September 24 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
38
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 San Lorenzo
Sunday, September 22 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, September 22 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
28
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 47.02%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 25.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Estudiantes in this match.
Result | ||
Estudiantes | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
47.02% ( 0.03) | 27.92% ( -0.15) | 25.06% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 43.71% ( 0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.72% ( 0.57) | 61.28% ( -0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.79% ( 0.42) | 81.21% ( -0.42) |
Estudiantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.82% ( 0.28) | 26.18% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.73% ( 0.37) | 61.27% ( -0.37) |
Defensa y Justicia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.21% ( 0.44) | 40.79% ( -0.44) |