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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Sep 28, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Ground Cae-y-Castell

Flint Town
0 - 1
Pen-y-Bont


Hughes (41'), Lee (45'), Sanogo Fofana (52'), Lambert (60'), Owen (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pritchard (70')
Kircough (43'), Crole (85')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Flint Town United and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Flint Town 1-2 Caernarfon
Wednesday, September 25 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-1 Briton Ferry
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 55.35%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 22.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 2-1 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Flint Town UnitedDrawPen-y-Bont
22.48% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05) 22.17% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 55.35% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 58.14% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.04% (0.143 0.14)40.96% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.65% (0.145 0.14)63.35% (-0.145 -0.15)
Flint Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17% (0.034999999999997 0.03)31.83% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73% (0.041 0.04)68.26% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.29% (0.078000000000003 0.08)14.71% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.09% (0.152 0.15)42.9% (-0.153 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Flint Town United 22.48%
    Pen-y-Bont 55.35%
    Draw 22.17%
Flint Town UnitedDrawPen-y-Bont
2-1 @ 5.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.36% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 22.48%
1-1 @ 10.27% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.68% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.17%
1-2 @ 9.85% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-1 @ 8.97% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.6% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.29% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.49% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.6% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.01% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.63% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.73% (0.011 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.16% (0.01 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.01% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 55.35%

Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Pen-y-Bont
2-1
Flint Town
Kavanagh (47'), Griffiths (59')
Kavanagh (44'), Borge (65'), Griffiths (90')
Akpa Akpro (30')
Harrison (38'), Akpa Akpro (66'), Simmonds (85')
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Flint Town
1-1
Pen-y-Bont
(Aggregate 1-1 | Flint Town win 3-1 on penalties)
Jones (6')
Roberts (51'), Nash (53')
Wood (53' pen.)
Snaith (81'), Owen (83')
Apr 18, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Pen-y-Bont
0-3
Flint Town

Harling (11')
Reynolds (20')
Nash (22'), Cadwallader (34', 44')
Roberts (45')
Mar 26, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Flint Town
1-0
Pen-y-Bont
Cadwallader (48')
Maher (58'), Jones (90+5'), Harwood (90+6')

Snaith (58'), Davies (58'), Whitmore (61')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810


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