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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
2 - 1
Flint Town

Kavanagh (47'), Griffiths (59')
Kavanagh (44'), Borge (65'), Griffiths (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Akpa Akpro (30')
Harrison (38'), Akpa Akpro (66'), Simmonds (85')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Flint Town United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New Saints 1-0 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 0-2 Flint Town
Friday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawFlint Town United
38.97% (-0.134 -0.13) 25.64% (0.0019999999999989 0) 35.39% (0.134 0.13)
Both teams to score 55.38% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)48.66% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)70.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)24.58% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.93% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)59.07% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Flint Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.43% (0.081999999999994 0.08)26.57% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.21% (0.108 0.11)61.78% (-0.106 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 38.97%
    Flint Town United 35.39%
    Draw 25.63%
Pen-y-BontDrawFlint Town United
1-0 @ 9.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.43% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.01% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 38.97%
1-1 @ 12.14%
0-0 @ 6.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 8.65% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.05% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.74% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.53% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 35.39%

Head to Head
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Flint Town
1-1
Pen-y-Bont
Flint Town win 3-1 on penalties
Jones (6')
Roberts (51'), Nash (53')
Wood (53' pen.)
Snaith (81'), Owen (83')
Apr 18, 2022 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont
0-3
Flint Town

Harling (11')
Reynolds (20')
Nash (22'), Cadwallader (34', 44')
Roberts (45')
Mar 26, 2022 2.30pm
Flint Town
1-0
Pen-y-Bont
Cadwallader (48')
Maher (58'), Jones (90+5'), Harwood (90+6')

Snaith (58'), Davies (58'), Whitmore (61')
Feb 26, 2022 12.45pm
Pen-y-Bont
1-1
Flint Town
Wood (2')
Evans (84')
Wilde (37' pen.)
Maher (45+2'), Weaver (51'), Edwards (89')
Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm
Flint Town
3-1
Pen-y-Bont
Wilde (39'), Kenny (58', 90+3')
Weaver (29'), Harwood (45+1')
Waite (76')
Davies (20'), Harling (61'), Levi Borge (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810


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