Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.