Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.