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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
Result | ||
Reading | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
32.27% ( -1.28) | 25.65% ( 0.06) | 42.08% ( 1.23) |
Both teams to score 54.57% ( -0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.63% ( -0.6) | 49.37% ( 0.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.58% ( -0.55) | 71.42% ( 0.55) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.15% ( -1.11) | 28.85% ( 1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.29% ( -1.41) | 64.71% ( 1.41) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.69% ( 0.34) | 23.31% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.75% ( 0.5) | 57.25% ( -0.49) |
Score Analysis |
Reading | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
1-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.27% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 42.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 29 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 11 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 13 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 5 |
> League One Full Table |