Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.