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League One | Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
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Birmingham
1 - 1
Reading

May (87' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ehibhaimha (42')
Wing (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last Game: Birmingham 4-1 West Brom
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

Reading

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Reading 2-0 Hull City
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Birmingham City 2-1 Reading

 In front of a sold-out crowd at St Andrew's, Birmingham will be overwhelming favourites against cash-strapped Reading, but it is unlikely to be a simple task for the hosts on the opening weekend. The Royals have a close-knit group who will fight for an upset in the Second City, but we feel that Blues' quality will come up trumps in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Birmingham City win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Reading has a probability of 31.77% and a draw has a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Reading win is 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.91%).

Result
Birmingham CityDrawReading
43.02% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 25.21% (0.111 0.11) 31.77% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 55.85% (-0.392 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.37% (-0.506 -0.51)47.62% (0.499 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.17% (-0.47 -0.47)69.83% (0.46300000000001 0.46)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (-0.256 -0.26)22.1% (0.25 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54% (-0.387 -0.39)55.46% (0.381 0.38)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.69% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)28.31% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.96% (-0.339 -0.34)64.03% (0.332 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 43.02%
    Reading 31.77%
    Draw 25.2%
Birmingham CityDrawReading
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.125 0.13)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.13% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.59% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 43.02%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.129 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.9% (0.105 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 31.77%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Reading

Birmingham City
73.0%
Draw
8.1%
Reading
18.9%
37
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Reading
1-1
Birmingham
Carroll (7')
Jutkiewicz (29')
> Preview
Dec 16, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 23
Birmingham
3-2
Reading
Deeney (2', 23' pen.), Chong (36')
Joao (82'), Ince (90+4')
> Preview
Feb 22, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 34
Reading
2-1
Birmingham
Joao (67'), Swift (73' pen.)
McIntyre (82' og.)
Pedersen (31'), Bela (51'), Hernandez (72')
> Preview
Nov 6, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 17
Birmingham
1-2
Reading
Hogan (3')
Bela (30'), Dean (34'), Oakley (38'), McGree (55')
Clarke (70', 82')
Holmes (76')
> Preview
Mar 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Birmingham
2-1
Reading
Jutkiewicz (4'), Dean (72')
Colin (22'), Gardner (28')
Meite (35')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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