MX23RW : Friday, March 14 16:40:34| >> :60:245:245:
Reading logo
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 19, 2024 at 12pm UK
Gene L. Shirk Stadium
Millwall logo

Reading
1 - 2
Millwall

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Reading and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 0-2 Reading
Saturday, July 6 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Millwall 2-0 Charlton
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 2

We said: Reading 1-2 Millwall

With both managers likely being keen to step up the intensity, this will be more of a competitive fixture than it perhaps would have been earlier in the month. Reading have already shown in recent weeks that they can compete with second-tier sides, yet we are backing Millwall to edge this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
ReadingDrawMillwall
36.37% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 27.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 35.97% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.81% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43% (0.018999999999998 0.02)57% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.11% (0.015000000000001 0.02)77.9% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99% (0.027999999999992 0.03)30.01% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.87% (0.033000000000001 0.03)66.13% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)30.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.57% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)66.43% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Reading 36.37%
    Millwall 35.96%
    Draw 27.66%
ReadingDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.93%
2-1 @ 7.86% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.64% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 36.37%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.08% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.66%
0-1 @ 10.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 6.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.87%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 35.96%

Head to Head
Aug 8, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Millwall
0-4
Reading

Leonard (25'), Saville (62'), Evans (85'), Bryan (86')
Ehibhaimha (1', 51'), Savage (67'), Camara (88')
Knibbs (10'), Camara (19'), Rushesha (39'), Carson (53')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Reading
0-1
Millwall
Voglsammer (11' pen.)
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Millwall
0-1
Reading
Sarr (14')
Holmes (82')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Reading
0-1
Millwall

Rinomhota (56'), Yiadom (90')
Cooper (37')
Wallace (11'), Cooper (45')
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Millwall
1-0
Reading
Afobe (71')
Kieftenbeld (31'), Leonard (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
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18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
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