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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Millwall logo

Reading
0 - 1
Millwall


Ince (0'), Ince (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Voglsammer (11' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Reading and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 0-1 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, March 7 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-3 Norwich
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Reading 0-1 Millwall

News of Reading's imminent six-point deduction has appeared to have distracted the playing staff, and the visit of a strong Millwall side is not an occasion to have the focus elsewhere. The Lions put in a valiant effort despite defeat against Norwich last Saturday, and they should be able to return to winning ways in Berkshire as the playoff race intensifies. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Reading had a probability of 25.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.33%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
ReadingDrawMillwall
25.12% (-0.148 -0.15) 26.25% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 48.63% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Both teams to score 48.25% (-0.163 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.55% (-0.148 -0.15)55.45% (0.145 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.36% (-0.121 -0.12)76.64% (0.119 0.12)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.53% (-0.213 -0.21)37.47% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75% (-0.21 -0.21)74.25% (0.208 0.21)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.84% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.44% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)56.56% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Reading 25.12%
    Millwall 48.63%
    Draw 26.25%
ReadingDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 8.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 6.09% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.12% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.99% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 25.12%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 8.56% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 12.63% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 9.33% (0.052 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.16%
0-3 @ 4.59% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.51%
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.7% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 48.63%

How you voted: Reading vs Millwall

Reading
28.6%
Draw
22.9%
Millwall
48.6%
35
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Nov 25, 2020 7pm
Millwall
1-1
Reading
Wallace (45+1')
Cooper (10'), Williams (52'), Hutchinson (70'), Leonard (85')
Joao (53')
Semedo (30'), Morrison (55'), Ejaria (60'), Holmes (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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9.25pm
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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