Championship

Championship | Gameweek 23

Feb 28, 2023 at 8pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
2 - 2
Millwall

Adebayo (58'), Berry (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Flemming (4'), Bradshaw (52')
Cresswell (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Luton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Millwall

With both clubs going through a poor run of form, the stakes are high in this contest as they bid to stay in touch with the top six. Taking that into consideration, we feel that a low-scoring draw is most likely, one which will be deemed acceptable by both sets of supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Millwall
42.27% ( -0.02)	27.99% ( -0.03)	29.73% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 46.43% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.69% (

0.13)

59.31% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.29% (

0.1)

79.71% (

-0.1)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.28% (

0.05)

27.71% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.72% (

0.06)

63.28% (

-0.06)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.23% (

0.11)

35.77% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.45% (

0.11)

72.54% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 42.27%

Millwall 29.73%

Draw 27.98%

Luton Town	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 12.72% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 42.27%	1-1 @ 13.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.98%	0-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 29.73%