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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Burnley logo

Luton
0 - 1
Burnley


Lockyer (77'), Adebayo (80')
Lockyer (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Barnes (78' pen.)
Brownhill (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 1-1 Luton
Wednesday, February 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Watford
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 0-2 Burnley

Luton are hunting for a top six place this season but will still regard this clash with Burnley as a free hit, highlighting how good Kompany's men are proving to be this term. The Clarets will be energised by their late equaliser against Watford last time out and should be able to earn three points in this one, even if the defence is slightly makeshift. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawBurnley
37.06% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 26.53% (0.049999999999997 0.05) 36.41% (-0.146 -0.15)
Both teams to score 52.46% (-0.17 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.58% (-0.211 -0.21)52.42% (0.213 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.9% (-0.182 -0.18)74.1% (0.18300000000001 0.18)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)27.38% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.15% (-0.058 -0.06)62.85% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.24% (-0.187 -0.19)27.76% (0.189 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.67% (-0.242 -0.24)63.33% (0.244 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 37.06%
    Burnley 36.41%
    Draw 26.52%
Luton TownDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 9.84% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.38% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.75% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 37.06%
1-1 @ 12.61% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.6% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 9.74% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.24% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.46% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 36.41%

How you voted: Luton vs Burnley

Luton Town
19.4%
Draw
17.9%
Burnley
62.7%
67
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Burnley
1-1
Luton
Brownhill (50')
Barnes (89'), Roberts (90+4')
Potts (5')
Morris (66')
Mar 31, 2007 3pm
Oct 31, 2006 3pm
Luton
0-2
Burnley
Gray (31', 36')
Foster (22'), Elliott (51')
Foster (73')
Apr 30, 2006 3pm
Burnley
1-1
Luton
Lafferty (78')
Vine (42')
Brkovic (67'), Barnett (90')
Nov 5, 2005 3pm
Luton
2-3
Burnley
Howard (43'), Feeney (60')
Barnett (54')
Akinbiyi (15', 31', 54')
Jensen (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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20-15
Giants
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom6510102816
2Sunderland6501134915
3Burnley6411134913
4Blackburn RoversBlackburn6330126612
5Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd642093612
6Leeds UnitedLeeds632194511
7Swansea CitySwansea631274310
8Watford6312109110
9Oxford UnitedOxford Utd630310829
10Derby CountyDerby63038719
11Norwich CityNorwich62228718
12Middlesbrough62226518
13Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
14Bristol City6222812-48
15Queens Park RangersQPR614189-17
16Luton TownLuton7214611-57
17Hull City613257-26
18Stoke CityStoke620449-56
19Millwall61239905
20Coventry CityCoventry612368-25
21Preston North EndPreston612339-65
22Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds6114612-64
23Portsmouth6033713-63
24Cardiff CityCardiff6015113-121


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