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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Burnley |
37.06% ( 0.1) | 26.53% ( 0.05) | 36.41% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 52.46% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.58% ( -0.21) | 52.42% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.9% ( -0.18) | 74.1% ( 0.18) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.62% ( -0.04) | 27.38% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.15% ( -0.06) | 62.85% ( 0.06) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.24% ( -0.19) | 27.76% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.67% ( -0.24) | 63.33% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 37.06% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.88% Total : 36.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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