Burnley3 - 0Preston
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Burnley 3-0 Preston North End
Unless Preston pull off the performance of the current Championship campaign, this should be one-way traffic. Although Burnley were not at their best in midweek, they have generally been relentless at Turf Moor, giving us every confidence that they will prevail with minimal fuss. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 72.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 9.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.6%) and 3-0 (10.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Burnley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Burnley.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Preston North End |
72.03% ( 0.04) | 18.6% ( -0.02) | 9.37% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 38.7% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.34% ( 0.04) | 50.66% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.43% ( 0.04) | 72.57% ( -0.04) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.27% ( 0.03) | 12.73% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.03% ( 0.05) | 38.97% ( -0.05) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.34% ( -0.01) | 55.66% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 11.73% ( -0.01) | 88.27% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Preston North End |
| 2-0 @ 15.05% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 14.6% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.78% 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 72.02% | 1-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.58% ( -0)Other @ 0.37% Total : 18.6% | 0-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.51% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 1.5% Total : 9.37% |
