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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Carrow Road
Burnley logo

Norwich
0 - 3
Burnley


Giannoulis (12'), Omobamidele (16'), Dowell (42'), Nunez (83'), Idah (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zaroury (8'), Vitinho (54'), Ekdal (60')
Brownhill (29'), Barnes (40'), Roberts (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 2-4 Norwich
Saturday, January 21 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Burnley

Despite their different trajectories throughout the campaign, this should prove to be an intriguing fixture which should not be regarded as a foregone conclusion. There is a feeling that both sides would probably accept a draw if it was offered to them beforehand, and it leads us to predict a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBurnley
39.41% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09) 26.77% (-0.214 -0.21) 33.82% (0.306 0.31)
Both teams to score 51.38% (0.736 0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.34% (0.905 0.91)53.66% (-0.908 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.85% (0.757 0.76)75.15% (-0.758 -0.76)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37% (0.372 0.37)26.63% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (0.49 0.49)61.87% (-0.491 -0.49)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.04% (0.651 0.65)29.97% (-0.653 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.92% (0.778 0.78)66.08% (-0.779 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 39.4%
    Burnley 33.82%
    Draw 26.77%
Norwich CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 10.55% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.99% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.71% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 39.4%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.288 -0.29)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.085 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.8% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.089 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.08 0.08)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 33.82%

How you voted: Norwich vs Burnley

Norwich City
22.0%
Draw
8.0%
Burnley
70.0%
50
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 8pm
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Burnley
0-0
Norwich

Tarkowski (11'), Wood (24'), Lowton (25'), Brownhill (33'), Rodriguez (49')

Normann (27'), Aarons (74')
Jul 18, 2020 5.30pm
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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