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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Carrow Road
Burnley logo

Norwich
0 - 3
Burnley


Giannoulis (12'), Omobamidele (16'), Dowell (42'), Nunez (83'), Idah (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zaroury (8'), Vitinho (54'), Ekdal (60')
Brownhill (29'), Barnes (40'), Roberts (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 2-4 Norwich
Saturday, January 21 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Burnley

Despite their different trajectories throughout the campaign, this should prove to be an intriguing fixture which should not be regarded as a foregone conclusion. There is a feeling that both sides would probably accept a draw if it was offered to them beforehand, and it leads us to predict a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBurnley
39.41% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09) 26.77% (-0.214 -0.21) 33.82% (0.306 0.31)
Both teams to score 51.38% (0.736 0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.34% (0.905 0.91)53.66% (-0.908 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.85% (0.757 0.76)75.15% (-0.758 -0.76)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37% (0.372 0.37)26.63% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (0.49 0.49)61.87% (-0.491 -0.49)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.04% (0.651 0.65)29.97% (-0.653 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.92% (0.778 0.78)66.08% (-0.779 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 39.4%
    Burnley 33.82%
    Draw 26.77%
Norwich CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 10.55% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.99% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.71% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 39.4%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.288 -0.29)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.085 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.8% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.089 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.08 0.08)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 33.82%

How you voted: Norwich vs Burnley

Norwich City
22.0%
Draw
8.0%
Burnley
70.0%
50
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 8pm
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Burnley
0-0
Norwich

Tarkowski (11'), Wood (24'), Lowton (25'), Brownhill (33'), Rodriguez (49')

Normann (27'), Aarons (74')
Jul 18, 2020 5.30pm
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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