Championship

Championship | Gameweek 30

Feb 4, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
0 - 3
Burnley

Giannoulis (12'), Omobamidele (16'), Dowell (42'), Nunez (83'), Idah (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Zaroury (8'), Vitinho (54'), Ekdal (60')
Brownhill (29'), Barnes (40'), Roberts (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Coventry 2-4 Norwich
Saturday, January 21 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burnley

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Ipswich 0-0 Burnley
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Burnley

Despite their different trajectories throughout the campaign, this should prove to be an intriguing fixture which should not be regarded as a foregone conclusion. There is a feeling that both sides would probably accept a draw if it was offered to them beforehand, and it leads us to predict a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Burnley
39.41% ( -0.09)	26.77% ( -0.21)	33.82% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 51.38% (

0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.34% (

0.91)

53.66% (

-0.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.85% (

0.76)

75.15% (

-0.76)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.37% (

0.37)

26.63% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.13% (

0.49)

61.87% (

-0.49)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.04% (

0.65)

29.97% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.92% (

0.78)

66.08% (

-0.78)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 39.4%

Burnley 33.82%

Draw 26.77%

Norwich City	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 39.4%	1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.11) Other @ 1% Total : 26.77%	0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.8% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.37% Total : 33.82%