Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Swansea 4-0 Watford
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Burnley
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship
We said: Swansea City 1-3 Burnley
Both sides head into Monday's contest in high spirits, but league leaders Burnley will be regarded as strong favourites to kick-start 2023 with another victory. Indeed, the Clarets have looked unstoppable in recent weeks and although Swansea boast a good record on home soil, we believe that Kompany and co will get the job done at the Liberty Stadium and maintain their position at the Championship summit. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Burnley |
40.72% ( 1.3) | 26.86% ( -0.19) | 32.41% ( -1.12) |
| Both teams to score 50.74% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.68% ( 0.48) | 54.31% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.29% ( 0.4) | 75.7% ( -0.4) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.77% ( 0.93) | 26.22% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.67% ( 1.24) | 61.32% ( -1.24) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.77% ( -0.51) | 31.22% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.43% ( -0.59) | 67.56% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
Swansea City 40.71%
Burnley 32.41%
Draw 26.85%
| Swansea City | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.22% Total : 40.71% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 32.41% |
How you voted: Swansea vs Burnley
Swansea City
14.3%Draw
10.0%Burnley
75.7%70
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Feb 10, 2018 3pm
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Aug 13, 2016 3pm
