MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 14:43:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Burnley logo

Swansea
1 - 2
Burnley

Cooper (27')
Darling (12'), Allen (45+2'), Latibeaudiere (79')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Maatsen (13', 22')
Brownhill (41'), Beyer (58'), Berg Gudmundsson (79'), Barnes (90+5'), Benson (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 4-0 Watford
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Burnley
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-3 Burnley

Both sides head into Monday's contest in high spirits, but league leaders Burnley will be regarded as strong favourites to kick-start 2023 with another victory. Indeed, the Clarets have looked unstoppable in recent weeks and although Swansea boast a good record on home soil, we believe that Kompany and co will get the job done at the Liberty Stadium and maintain their position at the Championship summit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBurnley
40.72% (1.299 1.3) 26.86% (-0.185 -0.19) 32.41% (-1.122 -1.12)
Both teams to score 50.74% (0.274 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.68% (0.48099999999999 0.48)54.31% (-0.487 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.29% (0.398 0.4)75.7% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.77% (0.93299999999999 0.93)26.22% (-0.939 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.67% (1.235 1.24)61.32% (-1.241 -1.24)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.77% (-0.508 -0.51)31.22% (0.503 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.43% (-0.593 -0.59)67.56% (0.58800000000001 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 40.71%
    Burnley 32.41%
    Draw 26.85%
Swansea CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 10.95% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.173 0.17)
2-0 @ 7.34% (0.248 0.25)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.175 0.18)
3-0 @ 3.27% (0.194 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.072 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.091 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 40.71%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8.19% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.85%
0-1 @ 9.53% (-0.318 -0.32)
1-2 @ 7.43% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.265 -0.27)
1-3 @ 2.88% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 32.41%

How you voted: Swansea vs Burnley

Swansea City
14.3%
Draw
10.0%
Burnley
75.7%
70
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Burnley
4-0
Swansea
Vitinho (15'), Rodriguez (29', 57'), Zaroury (45+3')

Sorinola (23')
Feb 10, 2018 3pm
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Burnley
2-0
Swansea
Cork (29'), Barnes (39')
Ward (17')

Dyer (97')
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
Swansea
3-2
Burnley
Llorente (13', 92'), Olsson (70')
Fer (57'), Cork (85')
Gray (20' pen., 61')
Ward (9'), Mee (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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