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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Watford had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Watford |
41.72% ( -0.86) | 25.64% ( -0.11) | 32.63% ( 0.97) |
Both teams to score 54.72% ( 0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.76% ( 0.75) | 49.23% ( -0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.7% ( 0.67) | 71.29% ( -0.67) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.57% ( -0.1) | 23.42% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.58% ( -0.14) | 57.42% ( 0.14) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.45% ( 1.01) | 28.54% ( -1.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.67% ( 1.24) | 64.33% ( -1.24) |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.72% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Sunderland | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 15 |
3 | Burnley | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
4 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
5 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
6 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 11 |
7 | Swansea CitySwansea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
8 | Watford | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Derby CountyDerby | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
12 | Middlesbrough | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
13 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
14 | Bristol City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
17 | Hull City | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
19 | Millwall | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 5 |
20 | Coventry CityCoventry | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 |
21 | Preston North EndPreston | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 5 |
22 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
23 | Portsmouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 1 |
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