Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 54.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 22.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.