Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 66.09%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 14.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.24%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.