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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 19.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a West Bromwich Albion win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
56.37% ( 0.02) | 23.94% ( -0.01) | 19.69% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.39% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.08% ( 0.03) | 51.92% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.33% ( 0.02) | 73.66% ( -0.02) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.75% ( 0.02) | 18.25% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.7% ( 0.03) | 49.3% ( -0.03) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.19% ( 0) | 40.81% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.62% ( -0) | 77.38% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
1-0 @ 12.66% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.6% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 3.27% Total : 56.36% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.93% | 0-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.09% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.52% 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.11% Total : 19.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Sunderland | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 15 |
3 | Burnley | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
4 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
5 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
6 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 11 |
7 | Swansea CitySwansea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
8 | Watford | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Derby CountyDerby | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
12 | Middlesbrough | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
13 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
14 | Bristol City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
17 | Hull City | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
19 | Millwall | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 5 |
20 | Coventry CityCoventry | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 |
21 | Preston North EndPreston | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 5 |
22 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
23 | Portsmouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 3 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 | -12 | 1 |
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