FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round Replays

Jan 17, 2023 at 8pm UK

The Hawthorns

West Brom
4 - 0
Chesterfield

Swift (23'), Rogic (48'), Livermore (54'), Malcolm (90+1')
Ajayi (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Banks (68'), Dobra (90+3')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between West Bromwich Albion and Chesterfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Luton 2-3 West Brom
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chesterfield

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Chesterfield 3-3 West Brom
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-1 Chesterfield

Following a terrible scare in Chesterfield, now back on home soil, Albion's second string should make the most of their second chance. The hosts' greater individual quality is set to shine, as competition for places in a thriving team will spur them on to a place in the fourth round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Chesterfield had a probability of 19.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Chesterfield win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich Albion	Draw	Chesterfield
57.38% ( -0.05)	23.34% ( -0.13)	19.29% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 49.54% (

0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.95% (

0.78)

50.05% (

-0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.98% (

0.69)

72.02% (

-0.69)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.79% (

0.26)

17.2% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.52% (

0.46)

47.48% (

-0.46)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.83% (

0.67)

40.16% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.2% (

0.6)

76.8% (

-0.6)

Score Analysis

West Bromwich Albion 57.38%

Chesterfield 19.29%

Draw 23.33%

West Bromwich Albion	Draw	Chesterfield
1-0 @ 12.16% ( -0.28) 2-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 57.38%	1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.33%	0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.16% Total : 19.29%