Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 63.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 16.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
63.31% ( 0.04) | 19.93% ( -0.01) | 16.76% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.87% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.76% ( -0.04) | 39.23% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.43% ( -0.04) | 61.57% ( 0.04) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.2% ( -0) | 11.8% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.99% ( -0) | 37.01% |
Scunthorpe United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.34% ( -0.06) | 36.66% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.55% ( -0.06) | 73.45% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.06% 3-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.77% 4-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.61% 5-0 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 3.98% Total : 63.31% | 1-1 @ 9.28% 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.93% | 1-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.34% 0-2 @ 2.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 16.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
2 | York City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
4 | Rochdale | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Gateshead | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
13 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
17 | Tamworth | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 13 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 10 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
22 | Fylde | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 5 |
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