Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Halifax Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
27.14% ( -1.26) | 26.5% ( -0.37) | 46.36% ( 1.63) |
Both teams to score 49.16% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.92% ( 0.74) | 55.08% ( -0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.66% ( 0.61) | 76.34% ( -0.6) |
Halifax Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.45% ( -0.61) | 35.55% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.69% ( -0.64) | 72.32% ( 0.64) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.27% ( 1.11) | 23.73% ( -1.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.14% ( 1.57) | 57.86% ( -1.57) |
Score Analysis |
Halifax Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.01% Total : 27.14% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.66% Total : 46.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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