FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

Fuling Stadium

Ebbsfleet
2 - 1
Halifax

Edser (13'), Bingham (52')
Edser (68'), O'Neill (79'), Tanner (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Cooke (17')
Senior (44'), Johnson (53')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Ebbsfleet and Halifax Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Last Game: Havant & W'ville 0-1 Ebbsfleet
Wednesday, November 2 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Top scorers

Halifax Town

All competitions

Last Game: Halifax 2-1 Oldham
Saturday, October 29 at 5.20pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ebbsfleet in this match.

Result
Ebbsfleet	Draw	Halifax Town
41.45% ( 0.23)	24.94% ( -0.04)	33.61% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 57.42% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.14% (

0.14)

45.86% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.83% (

0.13)

68.18% (

-0.13)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.91% (

0.17)

22.09% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.55% (

0.25)

55.45% (

-0.25)

Halifax Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.7% (

-0.04)

26.3% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.58% (

-0.06)

61.42% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Ebbsfleet 41.45%

Halifax Town 33.61%

Draw 24.93%

Ebbsfleet	Draw	Halifax Town
2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 41.45%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.93%	1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 33.61%