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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
Watford logo

Burnley
1 - 1
Watford

Obafemi (90+5')
Roberts (12'), Barnes (58'), Obafemi (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pedro (32')
Kamara (35'), Kone (70'), Pedro (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 3-0 Preston
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Blackburn
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-0 Watford

Once again on home turf and with the visitors lacking any momentum, we can only envisage another dominant display from the Clarets on Tuesday, with Kompany's men seemingly cruising towards automatic promotion. We fancy Burnley to continue their impressive form at both ends of the pitch and add three more points to their tally at Turf Moor. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 67.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Watford had a probability of 12.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.18%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawWatford
67.08% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05) 20.29% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 12.63% (0.022 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.22% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (-0.058 -0.06)49.35% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)71.39% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.21% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)13.79% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.88% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)41.11% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.29% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)48.7% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.26% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)83.74% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 67.07%
    Watford 12.63%
    Draw 20.29%
BurnleyDrawWatford
1-0 @ 13.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 13.18%
2-1 @ 9.48%
3-0 @ 8.7% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.1% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
5-0 @ 1.71% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 67.07%
1-1 @ 9.57% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.41%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 20.29%
0-1 @ 4.83% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.44% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.74% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 12.63%

How you voted: Burnley vs Watford

Burnley
Draw
Watford
Burnley
90.2%
Draw
6.1%
Watford
3.8%
132
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2022 8pm
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Watford
1-2
Burnley
Tarkowski (8' og.)
Kucka (87')
Cork (83'), Brownhill (86')
Tarkowski (48'), Collins (90+1')
Feb 5, 2022 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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