Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 17

Feb 5, 2022 at 6pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
0 - 0
Watford

Stephens (45')

King (20'), Cleverley (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Watford's free-scoring attack may be blunted by a familiar Burnley backline this week, with Ranieri's side not exactly high on numbers or confidence at the minute. The Clarets can also expect to end their barren run in front of goal against this leaky visiting rearguard, but they will likely only possess the firepower to claim one point rather than all three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 45.21%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Watford had a probability of 27.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Watford
45.21%	27.55%	27.24%

Both teams to score 46.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.18%

58.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.67%

79.33%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.04%

25.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.03%

60.96%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.5%

37.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.72%

74.28%

Score Analysis

Burnley 45.2%

Watford 27.24%

Draw 27.54%

Burnley	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 13.12% 2-0 @ 8.85% 2-1 @ 8.68% 3-0 @ 3.98% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-1 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.09% Total : 45.2%	1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 9.73% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.54%	0-1 @ 9.55% 1-2 @ 6.32% 0-2 @ 4.68% 1-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.71% Total : 27.24%