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Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James' Park
Watford logo

Newcastle
1 - 1
Watford

Saint-Maximin (49')
Shelvey (6'), Fraser (53'), Dummett (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pedro (88')
Sissoko (51'), Samir (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Newcastle United 2-1 Watford

Newcastle will view this match as the perfect chance to secure their second league victory of the campaign, but Watford will also believe that they can cause problems to their fellow strugglers; it should be a close game at St James' Park, but we are backing Wood to find the back of the net in a 2-1 home success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 36.33%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawWatford
35.61%28.06%36.33%
Both teams to score 47.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.54%58.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.95%79.05%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78%31.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44%67.56%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.24%30.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.98%67.02%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 35.6%
    Watford 36.33%
    Draw 28.06%
Newcastle UnitedDrawWatford
1-0 @ 11.17%
2-1 @ 7.67%
2-0 @ 6.51%
3-1 @ 2.98%
3-0 @ 2.53%
3-2 @ 1.76%
Other @ 3%
Total : 35.6%
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 9.6%
2-2 @ 4.52%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.06%
0-1 @ 11.32%
1-2 @ 7.77%
0-2 @ 6.67%
1-3 @ 3.05%
0-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 36.33%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Watford

Newcastle United
71.7%
Draw
12.0%
Watford
16.2%
191
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
Watford
1-1
Newcastle
Sarr (72')
Dennis (17'), Troost-Ekong (40'), Rose (56'), Cathcart (69')
Longstaff (23')
Manquillo (18'), Ritchie (30'), Darlow (90+1')
Jul 11, 2020 12.30pm
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Fourth Round
Newcastle
0-2
Watford

Longstaff (90')
Gray (61'), Success (90')
Wilmot (56'), Chalobah (64'), Britos (75')
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 20
Watford
1-1
Newcastle
Doucoure (82')
Masina (44')
Rondon (29')
Yedlin (66'), Schar (90')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania41215
Q Slovakia Slovakia41215
Q Belgium Belgium31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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