We said: Brentford 2-2 Watford
There should be goals in this contest, with both sides likely to view this match as the ideal chance to put three points on the board. The two teams will again be missing a number of players through injury, and neither defence is particularly secure, so an entertaining 2-2 draw could be on the cards.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 47.27%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Watford had a probability of 26.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.