Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 16

Dec 10, 2021 at 8pm UK

Brentford Community Stadium

Brentford
2 - 1
Watford

Jansson (84'), Mbeumo (90+5' pen.)
Janelt (68'), Jansson (70'), Goode (81'), Onyeka (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dennis (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Brentford 2-2 Watford

There should be goals in this contest, with both sides likely to view this match as the ideal chance to put three points on the board. The two teams will again be missing a number of players through injury, and neither defence is particularly secure, so an entertaining 2-2 draw could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 47.27%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Watford had a probability of 26.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Watford
47.27%	26.46%	26.27%

Both teams to score 48.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.54%

55.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.35%

76.65%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.54%

23.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.52%

57.48%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.52%

36.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.73%

73.27%

Score Analysis

Brentford 47.27%

Watford 26.27%

Draw 26.46%

Brentford	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 12.4% 2-1 @ 9.07% 2-0 @ 9% 3-1 @ 4.38% 3-0 @ 4.35% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.7% Total : 47.27%	1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.46%	0-1 @ 8.63% 1-2 @ 6.31% 0-2 @ 4.35% 1-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.85% Total : 26.27%