Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Watford had a probability of 25.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Watford |
48.46% ( -0.01) | 25.9% ( -0) | 25.63% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.7% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.21% ( 0.02) | 53.78% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.74% ( 0.02) | 75.25% ( -0.02) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.79% | 22.21% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.37% ( 0) | 55.62% ( -0.01) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.89% ( 0.02) | 36.1% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.11% ( 0.02) | 72.88% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Watford |
1-0 @ 12.06% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.55% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 48.46% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 25.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
> Championship Full Table |