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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 22, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stadium of Light
Middlesbrough logo

Sunderland
2 - 0
Middlesbrough

Stewart (51'), Diallo (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Howson (16'), Forss (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 1-3 Swansea
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 1-2 Middlesbrough

Last time out, Sunderland's performance was heavily hindered by an early red card, and they should put up more of a fight here. Nevertheless, we still expect Boro to have too much quality for their rivals, strengthening their hold of a playoff spot in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
SunderlandDrawMiddlesbrough
36.07% (-0.199 -0.2) 26.23% (0.117 0.12) 37.7% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 53.45% (-0.393 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.84% (-0.494 -0.49)51.16% (0.5 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.99% (-0.434 -0.43)73.01% (0.441 0.44)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.64% (-0.351 -0.35)27.36% (0.359 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.18% (-0.46 -0.46)62.82% (0.467 0.47)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58% (-0.178 -0.18)26.42% (0.186 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.42% (-0.241 -0.24)61.58% (0.249 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 36.07%
    Middlesbrough 37.7%
    Draw 26.23%
SunderlandDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 9.37% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.08% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.07%
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.62% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 36.07%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.23% (0.144 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 9.62% (0.142 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.4% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.84% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 37.7%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Middlesbrough

Sunderland
17.4%
Draw
28.3%
Middlesbrough
54.3%
46
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2022 8pm
Jul 27, 2018 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Middlesbrough
0-0
Sunderland
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Sunderland
3-3
Middlesbrough
Asoro (11'), Williams (58'), McManaman (90')
Maja (45'), Honeyman (65'), McGeady (84'), Oviedo (90'), McManaman (90')
Clarke-Salter (24')
Bamford (50', 68'), Leadbitter (53' pen.)
Leadbitter (55')
Traore (37')
Jan 6, 2018 1pm
Third Round
Middlesbrough
2-0
Sunderland
Gestede (10'), Braithwaite (42')
Leadbitter (50'), Traore (55')

Honeyman (25'), Love (57')
Nov 5, 2017 12.15pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom6510102816
2Sunderland6501134915
3Burnley6411134913
4Blackburn RoversBlackburn6330126612
5Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd642093612
6Leeds UnitedLeeds632194511
7Swansea CitySwansea631274310
8Watford6312109110
9Oxford UnitedOxford Utd630310829
10Derby CountyDerby63038719
11Norwich CityNorwich62228718
12Middlesbrough62226518
13Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
14Bristol City6222812-48
15Queens Park RangersQPR614189-17
16Luton TownLuton7214611-57
17Hull City613257-26
18Stoke CityStoke620449-56
19Millwall61239905
20Coventry CityCoventry612368-25
21Preston North EndPreston612339-65
22Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds6114612-64
23Portsmouth6033713-63
24Cardiff CityCardiff6015113-121


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