MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 04:20:15| >> :600:611803:611803:
Reading logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
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Watford logo

Reading
2 - 0
Watford

Abretti (45+3'), Long (90+3')
Hutchinson (13'), Mbengue (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Morris (59'), Adu-Poku (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Reading and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Reading
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-1 Watford
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Reading 1-2 Watford

With both managers likely to tinker with their squads, this is an even more unpredictable fixture than it may have been with full-strength sides. While Reading will still be confident of registering yet another home win this campaign, we feel that a greater freedom for Watford to express themselves may lead to a narrow away victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for Reading had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawWatford
25.59% (0.111 0.11) 25.35% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 49.07% (-0.142 -0.14)
Both teams to score 51.33% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.37% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)51.63% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.58% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)73.41% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.02% (0.069000000000003 0.07)34.97% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.28% (0.073 0.07)71.72% (-0.071000000000012 -0.07)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.94% (-0.080000000000013 -0.08)21.06% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.14% (-0.125 -0.13)53.86% (0.126 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Reading 25.59%
    Watford 49.06%
    Draw 25.34%
ReadingDrawWatford
1-0 @ 7.74% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.33% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.06% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.22% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.42% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 25.59%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 11.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.39% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.94% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.88% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.64% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.81% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 49.06%

How you voted: Reading vs Watford

Reading
18.4%
Draw
21.1%
Watford
60.5%
38
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 8pm
Watford
2-0
Reading
Pedro (15' pen., 87')
Asprilla (34')
Apr 9, 2021 7.45pm
Watford
2-0
Reading
Sarr (12', 14')
Zinckernagel (17'), Hughes (75'), Success (90+2')

Rinomhota (56')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Reading
1-0
Watford
Puscas (41')
Laurent (39'), Richards (62'), Tetek (87')

Wilmot (40'), Pedro (87'), Chalobah (90+4')
Aug 29, 2018 8pm
Second Round
Reading
0-2
Watford

Meite (89')
Success (37'), Quina (62')
Navarro (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
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7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
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