MX23RW : Wednesday, November 6 01:37:59| >> :600:188917:188917:
Reading logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Watford logo

Reading
2 - 0
Watford

Abretti (45+3'), Long (90+3')
Hutchinson (13'), Mbengue (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Morris (59'), Adu-Poku (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Reading and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Reading
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-1 Watford
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Reading 1-2 Watford

With both managers likely to tinker with their squads, this is an even more unpredictable fixture than it may have been with full-strength sides. While Reading will still be confident of registering yet another home win this campaign, we feel that a greater freedom for Watford to express themselves may lead to a narrow away victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for Reading had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawWatford
25.59% (0.111 0.11) 25.35% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 49.07% (-0.142 -0.14)
Both teams to score 51.33% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.37% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)51.63% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.58% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)73.41% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.02% (0.069000000000003 0.07)34.97% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.28% (0.073 0.07)71.72% (-0.071000000000012 -0.07)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.94% (-0.080000000000013 -0.08)21.06% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.14% (-0.125 -0.13)53.86% (0.126 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Reading 25.59%
    Watford 49.06%
    Draw 25.34%
ReadingDrawWatford
1-0 @ 7.74% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.33% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.06% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.22% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.42% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 25.59%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 11.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.39% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.94% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.88% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.64% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.81% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 49.06%

How you voted: Reading vs Watford

Reading
18.4%
Draw
21.1%
Watford
60.5%
38
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 8pm
Watford
2-0
Reading
Pedro (15' pen., 87')
Asprilla (34')
Apr 9, 2021 7.45pm
Watford
2-0
Reading
Sarr (12', 14')
Zinckernagel (17'), Hughes (75'), Success (90+2')

Rinomhota (56')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Reading
1-0
Watford
Puscas (41')
Laurent (39'), Richards (62'), Tetek (87')

Wilmot (40'), Pedro (87'), Chalobah (90+4')
Aug 29, 2018 8pm
Second Round
Reading
0-2
Watford

Meite (89')
Success (37'), Quina (62')
Navarro (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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