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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Watford logo

Reading
2 - 2
Watford

Ince (66' pen.), Hendrick (80')
Mbengue (32'), Holmes (84'), N'Diaye (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sarr (30'), Porteous (48')
Martins (64'), Kamara (76'), Pedro (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Reading and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Watford
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Reading 0-1 Watford

Reading are in danger of falling into a relegation battle if they do not pick up some Championship wins in the coming weeks, with Ince needing to address their worrying habit of self-destructing in games. Watford will hope some timely new arrivals can help strengthen their position in the playoffs, and we are backing them to earn all three points in Berkshire on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawWatford
32.44% (-0.501 -0.5) 27.13% (-0.172 -0.17) 40.42% (0.671 0.67)
Both teams to score 49.92% (0.39299999999999 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.63% (0.558 0.56)55.37% (-0.559 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.42% (0.455 0.45)76.57% (-0.456 -0.46)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)31.74% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)68.17% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.13% (0.63500000000001 0.64)26.87% (-0.636 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.82% (0.827 0.83)62.18% (-0.826 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Reading 32.44%
    Watford 40.42%
    Draw 27.13%
ReadingDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.223 -0.22)
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.62% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.82% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 32.44%
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.53% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 11.2% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.45% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 7.37% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.7% (0.111 0.11)
0-3 @ 3.23% (0.103 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.057 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 40.42%

How you voted: Reading vs Watford

Reading
27.0%
Draw
14.3%
Watford
58.7%
63
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 12.30pm
Third Round
Reading
2-0
Watford
Abretti (45+3'), Long (90+3')
Hutchinson (13'), Mbengue (69')

Morris (59'), Adu-Poku (86')
Nov 8, 2022 8pm
Watford
2-0
Reading
Pedro (15' pen., 87')
Asprilla (34')
Apr 9, 2021 7.45pm
Watford
2-0
Reading
Sarr (12', 14')
Zinckernagel (17'), Hughes (75'), Success (90+2')

Rinomhota (56')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Reading
1-0
Watford
Puscas (41')
Laurent (39'), Richards (62'), Tetek (87')

Wilmot (40'), Pedro (87'), Chalobah (90+4')
Aug 29, 2018 8pm
Second Round
Reading
0-2
Watford

Meite (89')
Success (37'), Quina (62')
Navarro (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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