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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Luton Town

Birmingham
0 - 1
Luton


Roberts (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morris (47')
Doughty (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Luton Town

Birmingham were beginning to get their small squad back to full fitness before injuries in key areas hit the camp in recent matches, and the XI on the pitch have failed to impress over the past week. Luton will be targeting a trip to a half-empty St Andrew's as a chance to get back to winning ways, and we believe that they will do just that on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-2 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawLuton Town
27.63% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 28.35% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 44.01% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.38% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.65% (0.017000000000003 0.02)61.35% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.74% (0.010999999999999 0.01)81.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)38.58% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.68% (0.004999999999999 0)75.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.24% (0.013000000000005 0.01)27.75% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.67% (0.015999999999998 0.02)63.33% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 27.62%
    Luton Town 44.01%
    Draw 28.34%
Birmingham CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.86% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 1.98% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.54%
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 27.62%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 10.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.34%
0-1 @ 13.72%
0-2 @ 8.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 8.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 3.76% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 44.01%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Luton

Birmingham City
27.2%
Draw
24.7%
Luton Town
48.1%
81
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Luton
0-5
Birmingham

Rea (34')
Roberts (7'), Hogan (26', 47'), Gardner (84'), Aneke (88')
Roberts (4')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Luton
1-1
Birmingham
Pearson (37')
Rea (73')
Jutkiewicz (23' pen.)
Dean (48')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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