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Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Luton Town

Birmingham
0 - 1
Luton


Roberts (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morris (47')
Doughty (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Luton Town

Birmingham were beginning to get their small squad back to full fitness before injuries in key areas hit the camp in recent matches, and the XI on the pitch have failed to impress over the past week. Luton will be targeting a trip to a half-empty St Andrew's as a chance to get back to winning ways, and we believe that they will do just that on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-2 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawLuton Town
27.63% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 28.35% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 44.01% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.38% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.65% (0.017000000000003 0.02)61.35% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.74% (0.010999999999999 0.01)81.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)38.58% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.68% (0.004999999999999 0)75.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.24% (0.013000000000005 0.01)27.75% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.67% (0.015999999999998 0.02)63.33% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 27.62%
    Luton Town 44.01%
    Draw 28.34%
Birmingham CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.86% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 1.98% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.54%
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 27.62%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 10.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.34%
0-1 @ 13.72%
0-2 @ 8.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 8.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 3.76% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 44.01%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Luton

Birmingham City
27.2%
Draw
24.7%
Luton Town
48.1%
81
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Luton
0-5
Birmingham

Rea (34')
Roberts (7'), Hogan (26', 47'), Gardner (84'), Aneke (88')
Roberts (4')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Luton
1-1
Birmingham
Pearson (37')
Rea (73')
Jutkiewicz (23' pen.)
Dean (48')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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