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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-2 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Luton Town |
27.63% ( -0) | 28.35% ( -0.01) | 44.01% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 44.38% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.65% ( 0.02) | 61.35% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.74% ( 0.01) | 81.26% ( -0.01) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.42% ( 0.01) | 38.58% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.68% ( 0) | 75.32% ( -0) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.24% ( 0.01) | 27.75% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.67% ( 0.02) | 63.33% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.23% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.86% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.98% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.54% 3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 27.62% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.34% | 0-1 @ 13.72% 0-2 @ 8.8% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.72% Total : 44.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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