Championship

Championship | Gameweek 34

Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
0 - 1
Luton

Roberts (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Morris (47')
Doughty (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luton Town

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Luton 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Luton Town

Birmingham were beginning to get their small squad back to full fitness before injuries in key areas hit the camp in recent matches, and the XI on the pitch have failed to impress over the past week. Luton will be targeting a trip to a half-empty St Andrew's as a chance to get back to winning ways, and we believe that they will do just that on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-2 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Luton Town
27.63% ( -0)	28.35% ( -0.01)	44.01% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 44.38% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.65% (

0.02)

61.35% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.74% (

0.01)

81.26% (

-0.01)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.42% (

0.01)

38.58% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.68% (

75.32% (

-0)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.24% (

0.01)

27.75% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.67% (

0.02)

63.33% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 27.62%

Luton Town 44.01%

Draw 28.34%

Birmingham City	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.23% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.86% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.98% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.54% 3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 27.62%	1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.34%	0-1 @ 13.72% 0-2 @ 8.8% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.72% Total : 44.01%