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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 45.31%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Cardiff City |
45.31% ( -0.01) | 27.37% ( 0.01) | 27.32% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 46.82% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.85% ( -0.02) | 58.15% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.19% ( -0.01) | 78.81% ( 0.01) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.4% ( -0.01) | 25.6% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.52% ( -0.01) | 60.48% ( 0.01) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.93% ( -0.01) | 37.07% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.15% ( -0.01) | 73.85% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 12.93% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.81% 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 45.31% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 27.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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