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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Cardiff
1 - 3
Middlesbrough

Kaba (25')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Forss (17'), Archer (38'), McGree (90')
Lenihan (72'), Archer (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Middlesbrough

Cardiff are still searching for their maiden victory under Lamouchi and now face a tricky test against an in-form Middlesbrough side. Boro will be looking to cement their place in the playoffs this weekend and will fancy their chances against a Cardiff side yet to get firing under their new management. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawMiddlesbrough
34.71% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03) 26.76% (0.032 0.03) 38.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 51.58% (-0.104 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.52% (-0.128 -0.13)53.48% (0.132 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25% (-0.11 -0.11)75% (0.113 0.11)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)29.31% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.72% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)65.27% (0.101 0.1)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)27.04% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.6% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)62.4% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 34.71%
    Middlesbrough 38.53%
    Draw 26.76%
Cardiff CityDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.97% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 34.71%
1-1 @ 12.72% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.92% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.32% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 38.53%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Middlesbrough

Cardiff City
8.9%
Draw
11.1%
Middlesbrough
80.0%
45
Head to Head
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
2-3
Cardiff
Watmore (76'), Muniz (77')
McGree (81')
O'Dowda (4'), Harris (20'), Ng (45')
Apr 27, 2022 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
2-0
Cardiff
Tavernier (28'), McGree (53')
Jones (88'), Howson (90')

Nelson (27'), Wintle (33'), Denham (62'), Vaulks (90')
Oct 23, 2021 12.30pm
Cardiff
0-2
Middlesbrough

Pack (28'), McGuinness (34'), Flint (70')
Sporar (35' pen.), Payero (74')
Ikpeazu (38')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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