FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 8, 2023 at 2pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff
2 - 2
Leeds

Philogene-Bidace (24'), Ojo (31')
Sang (9'), Bagan (35'), Wintle (83')
Bagan (80')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Rodrigo (65'), Perkins (90+3')
Gnonto (27'), Struijk (28'), Greenwood (70'), Wober (90+6')

The Match

Match Report

Substitutes Rodrigo and Sonny Perkins help Leeds United come from two goals down to rescue a 2-2 draw against Cardiff City in the FA Cup third round on Sunday.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Cardiff City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions

Last Game: Blackburn 1-0 Cardiff
Sunday, January 1 at 12pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 2-2 West Ham
Wednesday, January 4 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Leeds United
30.37% ( 0.17)	25.56% ( 0.54)	44.07% ( -0.7)

Both teams to score 54.01% (

-1.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.28% (

-2.23)

49.72% (

2.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.27% (

-2.03)

71.73% (

2.03)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.7% (

-1.01)

30.3% (

1.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.51% (

-1.23)

66.48% (

1.23)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.5% (

-1.26)

22.5% (

1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.93% (

-1.93)

56.07% (

1.93)

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 30.37%

Leeds United 44.07%

Draw 25.56%

Cardiff City	Draw	Leeds United
1-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.5) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 30.37%	1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.6) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.56%	0-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.5% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.22) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.21% Total : 44.07%