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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Birmingham logo

Bristol City
4 - 2
Birmingham

Semenyo (17'), Wells (21'), Sykes (47', 66')
Pring (33'), Semenyo (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Deeney (34' pen.), Khadra (76')
Long (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-3 Middlesbrough
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Birmingham City

The pressure is currently on these two relatively-big Championship sides as they bid to avoid a relegation battle this campaign. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see a draw played out, one which will not necessarily benefit either club. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawBirmingham City
42.43% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 27.86% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 29.71% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 46.78% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.14% (0.012999999999998 0.01)58.86% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.64% (0.010999999999999 0.01)79.36% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.58%27.42% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.1% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)62.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.45% (0.018999999999991 0.02)35.55% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.68% (0.021999999999998 0.02)72.32% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 42.43%
    Birmingham City 29.71%
    Draw 27.86%
Bristol CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 12.61%
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.64%
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.88%
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 42.43%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.75% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.86%
0-1 @ 10.08%
1-2 @ 6.75% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 29.71%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Birmingham

Bristol City
36.4%
Draw
40.9%
Birmingham City
22.7%
22
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Bristol City
1-2
Birmingham
Scott (48')
Klose (31'), Scott (86')
Chong (2'), Gordon (13')
Gardner (90+3')
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-3
Bristol City

Sanchez (45+1'), Sunjic (48'), Roberts (90+1')
Palmer (35'), Semenyo (62'), O'Dowda (76')
Wells (49'), Lansbury (66')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom6510102816
2Sunderland6501134915
3Burnley6411134913
4Blackburn RoversBlackburn6330126612
5Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd642093612
6Leeds UnitedLeeds632194511
7Swansea CitySwansea631274310
8Watford6312109110
9Oxford UnitedOxford Utd630310829
10Derby CountyDerby63038719
11Norwich CityNorwich62228718
12Middlesbrough62226518
13Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
14Bristol City6222812-48
15Queens Park RangersQPR614189-17
16Luton TownLuton7214611-57
17Hull City613257-26
18Stoke CityStoke620449-56
19Millwall61239905
20Coventry CityCoventry612368-25
21Preston North EndPreston612339-65
22Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds6114612-64
23Portsmouth6033713-63
24Cardiff CityCardiff6015113-121


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