Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.