Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 45.85%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barnsley in this match.