Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barnsley in this match.