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Birmingham logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round Replays
Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Blackburn logo

Birmingham
0 - 1
Blackburn


Chong (90+3'), James (120+2')
FT
(aet)
Trusty (100' og.)
Buckley (98'), Brereton Diaz (107'), Travis (114')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Birmingham City and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We say: Birmingham City 1-2 Blackburn Rovers (after extra time)

With Birmingham having finally ended their dismal run against second-tier opposition, they will be confident of progressing through to the fifth round. However, Blackburn have history of bouncing back from disappointing results, and we feel that they could edge this contest, potentially after extra time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%).

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
35.51% (0.371 0.37) 27.32% (-0.226 -0.23) 37.17% (-0.145 -0.14)
Both teams to score 49.88% (0.729 0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.34% (0.898 0.9)55.65% (-0.897 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.19% (0.728 0.73)76.81% (-0.72799999999999 -0.73)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.12% (0.67999999999999 0.68)29.88% (-0.68 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.02% (0.815 0.82)65.97% (-0.815 -0.81)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.14% (0.351 0.35)28.86% (-0.352 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.27% (0.433 0.43)64.73% (-0.43300000000001 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 35.5%
    Blackburn Rovers 37.17%
    Draw 27.31%
Birmingham CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 10.41% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 6.29% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.15% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 35.5%
1-1 @ 12.94% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8.62% (-0.303 -0.3)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 10.71% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-2 @ 8.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.66% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.33% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.76% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.064 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 37.17%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Blackburn

Birmingham City
29.2%
Draw
26.4%
Blackburn Rovers
44.3%
106
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Fourth Round
Blackburn
2-2
Birmingham
Dack (33'), Rankin-Costello (46')
Rankin-Costello (22'), Morton (69'), Wharton (80'), Brereton Diaz (86')
Khadra (3')
Chong (40')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Blackburn
4-0
Birmingham
Buckley (6'), Khadra (52'), Brereton Diaz (60' pen., 79')
Buckley (41')

Sunjic (43')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Blackburn
5-2
Birmingham
Armstrong (27' pen., 71', 85'), Brereton (45+1'), Elliott (83')
Pedersen (22'), Jutkiewicz (50')
Leko (26'), Stirk (40'), Pedersen (67')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


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