Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 45.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 26.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.