Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.